Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.077965 0.091064 0.105657 0.123118 0.143441 0.166352 0.194147
2026-02-08 0.058209 0.074495 0.094320 0.120223 0.153177 0.193720 0.247426
2026-02-15 0.044546 0.061814 0.084548 0.116653 0.160836 0.219545 0.303581
2026-02-22 0.036225 0.054090 0.079338 0.117593 0.174111 0.254612 0.378185
2026-03-01 0.029519 0.047135 0.073699 0.116625 0.184291 0.286975 0.454977
2026-03-08 0.023732 0.040315 0.066861 0.112379 0.188542 0.311055 0.523603
2026-03-15 0.019915 0.035825 0.062741 0.111495 0.197693 0.344005 0.611944
2026-03-22 0.017623 0.033436 0.061594 0.115263 0.215122 0.393280 0.736296
2026-03-29 0.015811 0.031531 0.060902 0.119612 0.234196 0.448360 0.880446
2026-04-05 0.014144 0.029564 0.059707 0.122727 0.251380 0.502594 1.032234
2026-04-12 0.012582 0.027497 0.057931 0.124321 0.265751 0.553583 1.186213
2026-04-19 0.010673 0.024343 0.053406 0.119436 0.265943 0.576138 1.285578
2026-04-26 0.008945 0.021342 0.048864 0.114136 0.265312 0.599011 1.394849
2026-05-03 0.007717 0.019237 0.045912 0.111871 0.271141 0.637216 1.546487
2026-05-10 0.006630 0.017249 0.042861 0.108814 0.274645 0.671051 1.695260
2026-05-17 0.005941 0.016104 0.041600 0.109866 0.288319 0.731279 1.919945
2026-05-24 0.005253 0.014818 0.039749 0.109074 0.297264 0.781768 2.130511
2026-05-31 0.004525 0.013270 0.036924 0.105172 0.297362 0.810051 2.289093
2026-06-07 0.004029 0.012265 0.035357 0.104390 0.305790 0.861732 2.521597
2026-06-14 0.003752 0.011842 0.035321 0.107949 0.327162 0.952472 2.882061
2026-06-21 0.003519 0.011501 0.035454 0.112045 0.350961 1.054506 3.296008
2026-06-28 0.003271 0.011061 0.035213 0.114978 0.371906 1.152291 3.717166
2026-07-05 0.003008 0.010518 0.034555 0.116482 0.388772 1.241191 4.129140